Behavioral risk report

SOLUSDT · BTCUSDT · ETHUSDT · Display time zone: Asia/Jerusalem

In an analysis of your past trades, the behaviors we found cost you about

$824.65

0.70% of traded volume

Discipline Score

100 = no behavioral cost found. Formula on the "How we calculate" page.

Trades384

Closed rounds206

Volume$118,619.27

Net P&L-$882.17

Fees$118.62

Equity (approx.)≈ $6,000.00

Period1 Aug 2026 – 15 Oct 2026

ⓘ Equity (E) is an approximation: median of open positions + estimated cash over the last 30 days. The CSV has no balances.

Top 3 most expensive findings

Holding losers, cutting winners Detected−$762.41

In an analysis of your past trades, you held losing trades 2.63x longer than winners, and your average loss (4.12%) was bigger than your average win (3.03%). Against a symmetric stop, this cost you about $762.41.

Cases: 83 · Confidence: high · How we detect it

Examples from your trades

Time	Pair	P&L	Cost
5 Aug 2026, 10:46	ETHUSDT	-$49.42	$43.27	hold hours 3.1 loss % -18.7 stop % 2.1
15 Aug 2026, 09:40	SOLUSDT	-$47.20	$41.74	hold hours 2 loss % -20.1 stop % 2.1
29 Sept 2026, 21:47	ETHUSDT	-$61.00	$35.52	hold hours 10.3 loss % -5.6 stop % 2.1

🛡️ Failrail could have blocked this: a mandatory stop-loss on every tradeWhat is Failrail?

Oversizing Detected−$544.05

In an analysis of your past trades, 34 entries were over 2x your median size or above 10% of estimated equity. The excess part of their losses cost you about $544.05.

Cases: 34 · Confidence: high · How we detect it

Examples from your trades

Time	Pair	P&L	Cost
29 Sept 2026, 21:47	ETHUSDT	-$61.00	$48.30	size $1,088.36 median $226.66 % of equity 18.1
10 Oct 2026, 20:13	BTCUSDT	-$48.04	$37.99	size $1,083.76 median $226.66 % of equity 18.1
30 Aug 2026, 12:52	BTCUSDT	-$50.08	$32.62	size $649.98 median $226.66 % of equity 10.8

🛡️ Failrail could have blocked this: a max position size capWhat is Failrail?

Overtrading Detected−$421.57

In an analysis of your past trades, on 3 days you made far more entries than your usual. Fees and the losses of the extra entries on those days cost you about $421.57.

Cases: 3 · Confidence: medium · How we detect it

Examples from your trades

Time	Pair	P&L	Cost
4 Sept 2026, 02:13	SOLUSDT	-$175.51	$239.46	day 2026-09-04 entries 29 median/day 2
5 Aug 2026, 02:40	BTCUSDT	-$53.22	$110.93	day 2026-08-05 entries 6 median/day 2
15 Aug 2026, 02:13	SOLUSDT	-$60.14	$71.19	day 2026-08-15 entries 7 median/day 2

🛡️ Failrail could have blocked this: a daily trade-count limitWhat is Failrail?

All checks

Revenge trading Detected−$215.84

In an analysis of your past trades, 12 times you opened an outsized position (1.5x+ your usual) within 30 minutes of a significant loss. Those entries cost you about $215.84.

Cases: 12 · Confidence: high · How we detect it

Examples from your trades

Time	Pair	P&L	Cost
5 Aug 2026, 14:11	ETHUSDT	-$44.28	$44.28	min after loss 20 prior loss -$49.42 x median 2.9
15 Aug 2026, 12:00	ETHUSDT	-$41.11	$41.11	min after loss 20 prior loss -$47.20 x median 2.9
4 Sept 2026, 04:29	ETHUSDT	-$21.93	$21.93	min after loss 15 prior loss -$41.51 x median 2.5

🛡️ Failrail could have blocked this: an automatic 30-minute cooldown after a lossWhat is Failrail?

Bad hours Detected−$181.95

In an analysis of your past trades, in the 04-08 time window your win rate was clearly below your average and the net result was negative. Trades in that window cost you about $181.95.

Cases: 1 · Confidence: low · How we detect it

Examples from your trades

Time	Pair	P&L	Cost
17 Sept 2026, 04:43	ETHUSDT	-$181.95	$181.95	window 04-08 rounds 29 win % 31 overall % 43.2

🛡️ Failrail could have blocked this: an allowed trading-hours windowWhat is Failrail?

Fee bleed Not detected

Not detected — Fees eat a large share of your gross P&L.

Cost by behavior

Cumulative P&L (closed rounds)

P&L by time of day (your time zone)

Past-trade performance metrics

In an analysis of your past trades: computed on closed lots (FIFO). Descriptive only, not a forecast.

Win rate43.2%

Avg win$7.03

Avg loss-$12.89

Expectancy / trade (past)-$4.28

Avg hold3.6 h

Max drawdown$905.52 (3878%)

Total fees$118.62

Payoff ratio0.55

Discipline score trend — monthly

monthly
Period	Discipline score	Closed	Win	Net	Behavior cost
2026-08	42	76	46.1%	-$353.53	$373.19
2026-09	45	102	41.2%	-$405.84	$372.92
2026-10	59	28	42.9%	-$122.80	$78.53

Discipline score trend — weekly (last 12)

weekly
Period	Discipline score	Closed	Win	Net	Behavior cost
2026-07-27	65	3	33.3%	-$12.80	$5.44
2026-08-03	42	22	36.4%	-$181.24	$153.48
2026-08-10	40	19	42.1%	-$60.00	$96.29
2026-08-17	54	15	60%	-$28.26	$43.60
2026-08-24	38	17	52.9%	-$71.24	$74.39
2026-08-31	38	54	27.8%	-$287.47	$237.53
2026-09-07	87	14	71.4%	$18.90	$7.32
2026-09-14	46	16	37.5%	-$103.12	$68.74
2026-09-21	87	11	72.7%	$13.08	$10.38
2026-09-28	50	17	47.1%	-$105.23	$84.54
2026-10-05	57	12	50%	-$41.73	$36.15
2026-10-12	76	6	16.7%	-$23.08	$6.81

Per-symbol breakdown

Pair	Closed	Win	Net	Fees	Avg hold
BTCUSDT	68	48.5%	-$205.69	$39.74	3.5 h
SOLUSDT	67	37.3%	-$242.81	$38.26	4.0 h
ETHUSDT	71	43.7%	-$433.68	$40.62	3.2 h

🏆 Best trades

Pair	Entry	Hold	P&L
SOLUSDT	15/08/2026, 02:13	8.6 h	$44.56
SOLUSDT	30/09/2026, 10:27	2.3 h	$31.85
BTCUSDT	11/08/2026, 17:17	114 min	$30.30
ETHUSDT	05/08/2026, 02:40	7.4 h	$25.32
BTCUSDT	25/09/2026, 09:03	82 min	$24.85

📉 Worst trades

Pair	Entry	Hold	P&L
ETHUSDT	29/09/2026, 21:47	10.3 h	-$61.00
BTCUSDT	30/08/2026, 12:52	42 min	-$50.08
ETHUSDT	05/08/2026, 10:46	3.1 h	-$49.42
BTCUSDT	10/10/2026, 20:13	5.7 h	-$48.04
SOLUSDT	15/08/2026, 09:40	2.0 h	-$47.20

🔎 Data quality

Fill rows merged into orders0
Sells without a matching buy (missing buys)0
Time-zone sourcefrom the time column header
Fees that could not be priced0
Estimated USD pricesno

🛡️ Rules Failrail could enforce for you

In an analysis of your past trades the patterns below were found. Each rule here comes only from your own findings, and you decide whether and at what value to set it.

Mandatory stopHolding losers, cutting winners
stop at -2.15% on every trade

Past cost this rule would have addressed: $762.41 · 83 cases
Max position sizeOversizing
up to $453.32 per trade (2× your median / 10% of account)

Past cost this rule would have addressed: $544.05 · 34 cases
Daily trade limitOvertrading
up to 4 entries per day (2× your median day)

Past cost this rule would have addressed: $421.57 · 3 cases
Cooldown after a lossRevenge trading
30 min with no new entries after a loss of $30.00+

Past cost this rule would have addressed: $215.84 · 12 cases
Trading-hours windowBad hours
no entries during 04-08

Past cost this rule would have addressed: $181.95 · 1 cases

Total behavior cost (no double counting of one trade): $824.65 · Hindsight, not a forecast.

✅ What Failrail does

Enforces rules you define in advance — you choose every rule and value
Stops an action that breaks your rule before it happens
A loss-prevention safety belt, nothing more

🚫 What Failrail does not do

Makes no profit or return promises
Does not tell you what to buy or sell
Does not predict prices
Does not set rules for you

🛡️ Set my rules in Failrail

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